football moneyline favorite parlay strategy

The Commanders have also struggled to contain running backs in the passing game since those deadline moves, having given up the 2nd-most receiving yards (291) and 4th-most yards per reception (8.3) over that span. Both came against teams that have struggled to stop the run (Bills and Broncos). Hall has two 100-yard rushing games this year. The defense is allowing the 5th-most yards per carry (4.8) of any team in the league over that time frame. Washington has been awful against the run since trading away the majority of its starting defensive line prior to Week 9. Our projections models project Breece Hall to pick up 58 yards on the ground and 42 yards through the air this week 100 total yards right on the nose. Underdog: Breece Hall- Alternate Rushing + Receiving Yards, 100+: +225 This is the lineup I’m playing this week. With this format and expected odds, my goal is to hit 20% of these “lottery ticket” style attempts. I’ll also incorporate teasers to achieve a degree of balance where possible. We’ll use Total Points, our player projections, and other information at our disposal.Įach of my parlays will have an underdog (+120 to +245) or superdog (+250), with the remaining 2 legs consisting of a combination of even money (-115 to +115), favorite (-120 to -245), and heavy favorite (-250) lines.

For the last couple of weeks of the NFL season, I’m going to try something different with our analytic data by testing how useful it is on parlays.

Football moneyline favorite parlay strategy